Loss at 50km/h (watts) against rim depth (mm) of 57 wheelsets

This post was written to answer a question that I was asked. For the benefit of people without curve fitting software, I did some basic analysis of aerodynamic data* for rims and have a sort of opinion here. (Also,  I made this for fun since I finally have MATLAB 2010 which supports W7 on my laptop! Yes!!!)

Click to enlarge

My statistics sucks... but maybe someone can make better work of this: the norm of residuals is 15.053 (higher polynomials are badly conditioned), and the standard deviation in y is 3.999... which should imply that the fit is 74%, which is a pretty strong correlation.

The other thing I want to suggest is that we can figure out the range of rim depths that a wheelset for overall usage should fall under. From the equation, we understand that there exists a region $37.5 \leq x \leq 53.1$ where a relatively large change in rim depth incurs only small aerodynamic benefit/loss of $\pm1.0W$ at 50km/h. Now, waiving all the assumptions that we have to clear, this sounds very reasonable indeed:

Hill climbing wheelsets: <37.5mm
General-use wheelsets: 37.5 to 53.1mm
TT wheelsets: >53.1mm

Now, my point was that the Zipp 303 has kind of disposed 404 as the better overall wheelset.

*Compiled from Roues Artisanales. I removed 2 outliers from the data: Ambrosio X-Carbo '05 (46, 31.5) and Zipp 808 (82, 16.7).

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